Commentaries & Views

Jefferies Analysts, Strategists and Economists provide real-time thought leadership across the global financial markets, offering insights and new ideas for or clients on a range of topics, including market strategy, economics, equity, fixed income, and foreign exchange.

Mark Lipacis

Semis on Fire

Mark Lipacis, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Semiconductors, highlights takeaways from call with U.S.& China Semis Policy Expert, Jacob Parker on the implications of the Executive Order for Semis and China.

April 1, 2021

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Kevin Grundy

Spring U.S. Beer Distributor Survey

Kevin Grundy, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Beverages and Household Products, presents takeaways from the U.S. Beer Distributor Survey. He says while seltzers will continue to be a key industry growth driver, distributors have a sharply lower outlook since the Fall.

April 1, 2021

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Ryan Carr

Initiate LoanDepot (LDI) at BUY

Ryan Carr, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Real Estate Finance, says investors have agreed with our outlook for market share growth, particularly as LDI is a relatively-newer entrant into the industry, while it is coming from a lower starting point.

April 1, 2021

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Steph Wissink

Takeaways Kohl’s Management Call & Amazon Return Test

Steph Wissink, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Consumer Products, recaps recent call with Kohl’s CEO and CFO. Takeaways were greater confidence in a pathway toward superior margins, cross-channel benefits, and cash productivity. She tested the Amazon returns process and can sees why it's traffic, sales, and margin accretive.

March 24, 2021

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Jefferies Equity Research Team

No Longer Window Shopping

Jefferies Equity Research Team talks about stocks best positioned for a surge in consumption. Aneta Markowska, Jefferies Chief Economist looks at PCE growth of 7% in '21 and 4.1% in '22, supported by the latest round of stimulus, more vaccines, better weather and pent-up demand, which should combine to benefit the service sector considerably.

March 15, 2021

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Bret Jordan

Under The Hood: Where Auto Research Happens

Bret Jordan, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Autos & Auto Parts, discusses trends in auto part pricing and how accelerating inflation could help auto part retailers "lap" the challenging stimulus driven comps seen in '20.

March 15, 2021

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Steven DeSanctis

SMID Cap Thoughts & Observations

Steven DeSanctis, U.S. Equity Strategist for Jefferies, discusses Small, Rotation & Down Cap.

March 10, 2021

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Janine Stichter

Views on Off-Price Post Earnings

Janine Stichter, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Department Stores & Specialty Softlines, with off-price earnings wrapped up, she discusses key themes. TJX and BURL remain top picks.

March 10, 2021

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Brent Thill

Digital Ad Update - Favor FB, GOOGL,SNAP

Brent Thill, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Internet, Software, Cloud, says given the recent pullback, he is increasingly positive on the digital ad industry, which should benefit from a further return of ad dollars in 2021.

March 8, 2021

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David Zervos

MACRO Zoom

David Zervos, Jefferies Chief Market Strategist, in the launch of his MACRO Zoom series, discusses recent volatility in Treasury yields and how that will likely feed back into the risk asset, currency, and commodity markets.

March 1, 2021

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Mark Lipacis

Semis on Fire: Mid-Cycle Correction Note Feedback

Mark Lipacis, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Semiconductors, forecasts that Semis revenues will peak in June and that Q2/Q3 2021 is the most likely time for a Mid-Cycle Correction.

February 26, 2021

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Chris LaFemina

Reflationary Recovery to Continue in Mining

Chris LaFemina, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Global Metals & Mining, believes that we are entering an extended period of strong demand growth combined with major supply constraints, ultimately leading to shortages and higher prices for copper and some other key commodities.

February 25, 2021

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Jefferies Equity Research Team

Riding the 40 Year Storm

Jefferies Equity Research Team came out with a report taking a look at potential implications of above-trend GDP growth. Chief Economist Aneta Markowska currently looks for growth of 6.9% in '21 and 5.2% in '22, driven by fiscal stimulus, as well as a powerful step-up in consumption. Analysts provided ideas with the most leverage.

February 23, 2021

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Jonathan Matuszewski

Distilling Value Creation From AccuBlue Home

Jonathan Matuszewski, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Hardline Retail, discusses his deep-dive report on AccuBlue Home, Leslie's upcoming connected device & subscription plan for pool water chemistry.

February 22, 2021

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George Notter

Rural Broadband

George Notter, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Telecom & Networking Equipment, says investors should take another look at names such as ADTRAN, Calix, and Cambium.

February 16, 2021

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Aneta Markowska & Bob Corker

Policy Outlook Under the Biden Administration

A discussion between Aneta Markowska, Jefferies’ Chief Economist, and Jefferies’ Special Advisor, Bob Corker, Former U.S. Senator from Tennessee. This in-depth conversation covers a broad range of topics relating to the policy outlook of President Biden’s Administration.

February 2, 2021

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Randy Konik

Top Pick For 2021 - Callaway Golf Company (ELY)

Randy Konik, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst - Lifestyles & Growth Platforms says that shares have rallied from the initial (overblown) reaction to the deal, though we still see plenty of room to run as the opportunity presented by the merger remains underappreciated. We recently raised our base case $40 PT / $50 Upside PT

January 29, 2021

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SMID Cap Thoughts & Observations

Steven DeSanctis, U.S. Equity Strategist for Jefferies, says that it is an amazing start to '21! Between huge ETF flows into small caps, trading in sub $1 names representing 15% of volume, and now short squeeze by retail on what we would consider speculative names.

January 27, 2021

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Analyzing Biotech Companies Using Visible Alpha

Michael Eastwood, U.S. Director of Research discusses Jefferies' recently published analysis of biotechnology revenue forecasts, using Visible Alpha.

January 25, 2021

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"Short but Sweet," Mortgage Initiation Feedback - Get in NOW

Ryan Carr, Jefferies Equity Research Analyst – Real Estate Finance, addresses investor feedback following our initiation: Initiating on Real Estate Finance & Tech: A Real Good Bet, Best Yet to Come.

January 14, 2021

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